The Iran war started under Biden, not Trump. Joe said ‘don’t,’ and Tehran did

signaled, and then declined to enforce. The lesson an adversary draws from that is not partisan. It is actuarial: American warnings, in that period, could be discounted to near zero, and behavior priced accordingly.

Iran priced accordingly. In February 2025, the International Atomic Energy Agency reported 274.8 kilograms of uranium enriched to 60%, continue reading …